Vote for a Future, Not the Odds of a Horserace

I am amazed by the number of pundits that seem to believe only Clinton supporters can add numbers. Today’s New York Times columnist, Paul Krugman, illustrates this in his piece entitled ‘Feel The Math’. Since his ideas repeat a very common argument, it is important to call out the problems with Krugman’s math lessons. First, … Continue reading Vote for a Future, Not the Odds of a Horserace

Polls Right; Pundits Wrong: The Story of the Sander’s Upset Win in Michigan

The day after Bernie Sanders won an amazing come-from-behind victory in the Michigan primary, what was the story on NPR? Not the political dynamics of this late surge in support for Bernie. No. It was all about why the polls did not get this right! To me, this is equivalent to punters blaming the bookies … Continue reading Polls Right; Pundits Wrong: The Story of the Sander’s Upset Win in Michigan

Opportunities for CNN and Candidates in the First Democratic Party Debate

Five candidates are preparing for the CNN debate to be held in Las Vegas on 13 October 2015: Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, but also Martin O'Malley, Jim Webb and Lincoln Chafee. There are two likely outcomes. The first is an opportunity to actually debate the issues. The previous Fox and CNN debates failed to engage … Continue reading Opportunities for CNN and Candidates in the First Democratic Party Debate